Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000251 0.000280 0.000311 0.000347 0.000389 0.000434 0.000487
2025-02-02 0.000204 0.000247 0.000297 0.000362 0.000442 0.000540 0.000668
2025-02-09 0.000168 0.000216 0.000276 0.000358 0.000468 0.000611 0.000816
2025-02-16 0.000147 0.000197 0.000264 0.000361 0.000499 0.000691 0.000983
2025-02-23 0.000129 0.000180 0.000251 0.000358 0.000518 0.000754 0.001135
2025-03-02 0.000116 0.000168 0.000242 0.000360 0.000544 0.000828 0.001313
2025-03-09 0.000105 0.000157 0.000233 0.000359 0.000564 0.000894 0.001488
2025-03-16 0.000093 0.000141 0.000216 0.000343 0.000557 0.000916 0.001589
2025-03-23 0.000086 0.000134 0.000211 0.000345 0.000579 0.000988 0.001790
2025-03-30 0.000082 0.000132 0.000213 0.000358 0.000622 0.001102 0.002087
2025-04-06 0.000075 0.000123 0.000203 0.000350 0.000626 0.001144 0.002251
2025-04-13 0.000067 0.000112 0.000188 0.000332 0.000609 0.001144 0.002328
2025-04-20 0.000063 0.000107 0.000185 0.000335 0.000633 0.001232 0.002612
2025-04-27 0.000061 0.000106 0.000188 0.000350 0.000684 0.001382 0.003069
2025-05-04 0.000057 0.000101 0.000181 0.000346 0.000696 0.001452 0.003355
2025-05-11 0.000054 0.000097 0.000178 0.000349 0.000723 0.001558 0.003751
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000092 0.000173 0.000346 0.000736 0.001634 0.004087
2025-05-25 0.000048 0.000089 0.000170 0.000348 0.000760 0.001741 0.004530
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000085 0.000166 0.000347 0.000777 0.001834 0.004952
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000079 0.000156 0.000332 0.000758 0.001831 0.005101
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000077 0.000153 0.000334 0.000781 0.001943 0.005619
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000076 0.000156 0.000346 0.000834 0.002142 0.006464
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000072 0.000150 0.000339 0.000832 0.002191 0.006830